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Health Science Reports

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Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Health Science Reports's content profile, based on 13 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Metabolic Control and the Symptoms/Problems Domain of Kidney Disease-Specific Quality of Life in Patients Receiving Kidney Replacement Therapy

Moran-Ramos, D.

2026-10-19 nephrology 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365777 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is an important outcome in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) receiving kidney replacement therapy (KRT), but the relationship between comprehensive metabolic control and the Symptoms/Problems domain of kidney diseasespecific HRQoL remains uncertain. Objective To evaluate the association between composite metabolic control and the Symptoms/Problems domain of the Kidney Disease Quality of Life-36 (KDQOL-36) in patients with stage 5 CKD receiving KRT, and to explore the relationship between individual metabolic parameters and the continuous Symptoms/Problems score. Materials and Methods We conducted an observational, cross-sectional, analytical study of 177 adults receiving hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis at a nephrology unit in Chihuahua, Mexico. Metabolic control included blood pressure, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), total cholesterol, and triglycerides. Adequate control was defined as achievement of at least three of four studydefined operational thresholds. The KDQOL-36 Symptoms/Problems score was analyze as a continuous variable and categorized as low, moderate, or high according to the study protocol. Group comparisons, Spearman correlations, Pearson chi-square tests, and ordinal logistic regression were performed. Results Adequate metabolic control was present in 106 patients (59.9%). No, statistically significant association was observed between achievement of at least three of four study-defined operational thresholds and Symptoms/Problems score category (x2=3.983; p=0.137; Cramers V=0.150). None of the individual metabolic parameters differed significantly across Symptoms/Problems score categories or showed significant correlations with the continuous score. In ordinal logistic regression, adequate metabolic control yielded an odds ratio of 1.81 (95% CI: 0.98-3.35; p=0.057) after adjustment for age, sex, time receiving KRT, and KRT modality. Conclusions No, statistically significant association was identified between the operational definition of metabolic control used in this study and the KDQOL-36 Symptoms/Problems domain in patients with stage 5 CKD receiving KRT. The findings support evaluating HRQoL multidimensionally and warrant confirmation in larger longitudinal studies. Categories: Family/General Practice, Internal Medicine, Nephrology Keywords: chronic kidney disease (ckd), hemodialysis, kdqol-36, kidney replacement therapy, metabolic control, peritoneal dialysis (pd)

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Detection and Characterization of Human Bocavirus in Stool Samples from an Acute Gastroenteritis Outbreak in Salvador, Bahia, Brazil, in 2024.

Vidal, B.; Neves, S. O.; Santos, I. P.; Sardi, S. I.; Campos, G. s.

2026-10-21 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365916 medRxiv
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Introduction: Acute gastroenteritis (AGE) is a global public health problem and a major cause of mortality in low- and lower-middle-income countries. Human bocavirus (HBoV) is among the viral agents associated with this condition. Therefore, investigating the presence of HBoV in cases of AGE in Salvador, Bahia, as well as its prevalence and circulating strains, is important. Objective: To investigate the occurrence of HBoV infection during an AGE outbreak in Salvador. Methods: A total of 178 samples were analyzed for HBoV using nested polymerase chain reaction (nested PCR), and the amplification products were visualized by agarose gel electrophoresis. HBoV was detected in 5.7% of the samples analyzed. Conclusion: This study contributes to the understanding of HBoV epidemiology as a secondary agent associated with acute gastroenteritis during a norovirus outbreak in Salvador. Continued investigation and identification of the etiological agents involved in outbreaks are essential for evaluating the causes of AGE. These findings also highlight the need for broader diagnostic approaches and the importance of phylogenetic analysis for monitoring and controlling viral infections.

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Predictive modeling for stroke using routine clinical and socio-demographic data in Uganda

Mugisha, D.; Watyaba, B.; Kiiza, H.; Wagaba, D.; Unith, H.; Nabidda, S.; Okello, S.; Kalyango, J. N.; Baguma, R.; Mukasa, M. K.; Nakibuuka, J.

2026-10-21 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365927 medRxiv
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Stroke is a leading cause of mortality and disability in Uganda, with a prevalence of approximately 2.5% and a 25-30% 30-day mortality rate, exacerbated by limited access to predictive tools and advanced diagnostics. Machine learning (ML) offers potential for early stroke risk stratification, but its application in resource-constrained settings like Uganda requires tailored models and rigorous performance evaluation, as well as assessment of misclassification patterns. This study aimed to develop and internally validate an ML-based predictive model for stroke using clinical and socio-demographic characteristics among patients at Mulago National Referral Hospital (MNRH) and residents of Wakiso District, Uganda, identify key predictors and assess misclassification patterns to enhance targeted prevention. A retrospective case-control study utilized secondary data from 1,016 participants (254 stroke cases, 762 controls) across three prior studies conducted between 2006 and 2015. Eight ML algorithms were evaluated using 5-fold cross-validation, with performance metrics including accuracy, sensitivity, positive predictive value, F1-score, and area under receiver operator characteristics curve (AU-ROC). McNemars test compared model classification performance of the top 2 models. Feature importance identified key predictors, and misclassification patterns were analyzed using classification matrix and line graphs. The Random Forest (RF) model achieved the highest performance (95.18% accuracy, 90.10% F1-score, 97% AU-ROC). McNemars test confirmed RFs superior classification (p=0.01). Age, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, and waist-hip ratio were the top drivers of RF stroke predictions. RF misclassified 8.3% of stroke cases and 3.3% of non-stroke cases, due to overlaps in risk profiles (e.g., lower cholesterol, systolic blood pressure and age in false negatives). The RF model demonstrates strong potential for stroke risk prediction in Uganda, leveraging routine data to prioritize high-risk individuals. Misclassification analysis highlights areas for model refinement, supporting its potential for integration into clinical workflows for early intervention and stroke prevention in resource-limited settings. Future external validation across diverse populations is recommended.

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Does the Disease-free Survival Benefit of Adding Belzutifan to Adjuvant Pembrolizumab Persist Beyond the Planned Treatment Period? A Reconstructed Individual Patient Data Analysis of Phase 3 Renal Cell Carcinoma Trials

Chang, H.-H.; Chang, C.-K.; Tang, T.-Y.; Jhan, J.-H.; Dong, S.-W.; Juan, Y.-S.; Geng, J.-H.; Ou, H.-C.; Lee, H.-Y.; Li, C.-Y.; Yeh, H.-C.; Leong, M.-K.; Liu, C.-H.; Lee, Y.-C.; Huang, S.-P.

2026-10-16 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365591 medRxiv
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Background and Objective: Adding belzutifan to adjuvant pembrolizumab improved disease-free survival (DFS) in LITESPARK-022, but its durability beyond the 1-year treatment is unknown. Methods: Following a registered plan, we reconstructed individual patient data from published Kaplan-Meier curves of ten phase 3 adjuvant renal cell carcinoma trials. Within each trial, we estimated restricted mean survival time differences ({Delta}RMST), hazard ratios (HRs) before and after planned treatment ended, and DFS differences. Key Findings and Limitations: In LITESPARK-022 (central review), the 24-month {Delta}RMST was 1.34 months (95% confidence interval 0.73-1.95), and the belzutifan arm remained ahead after month 12 ({Delta}RMST increment 0.74 months/yr, 0.32-1.19). The HR was 0.55 (0.43-0.71) before month 12 and 1.16 (0.87-1.54) afterwards (post/pre ratio 2.10); investigator assessment showed similar attenuation. Similar ratios occurred in KEYNOTE-564 at its first interim analysis (2.02), whose benefit persisted, and in SORCE and PROTECT (2.09, 2.59), whose benefit faded. From months 12 to 30 (post hoc), the DFS difference changed by -3.7 percentage points (-8.1 to 0.8) with central review and 0.6 (-4.0 to 5.0) with investigator assessment. Data were reconstructed, and follow-up was short. Conclusions and Clinical Implications: Relative hazard reductions with belzutifan were greater before month 12; durability of the absolute DFS advantage is uncertain and assessment-dependent, so single-HR projections should be avoided.

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Adenovirus as a Causative Agent of an Acute Gastroenteritis Outbreak in Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.

Vidal, B.; Neves, S.; Santos, I. P.; Sardi, S. I.; Campos, G. S.

2026-10-21 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365929 medRxiv
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Introduction: Acute gastroenteritis (AGE) is a cause of childhood morbidity and may be associated with human adenovirus (HAdV) infection. This study aimed to investigate the occurrence of HAdV in fecal samples from children with AGE in Salvador, Bahia, Brazil, as well as to molecularly characterize the identified strains and evaluate their cytopathic effects in cell culture. Methods: A total of 131 samples were analyzed using the nested polymerase chain reaction (Nested-PCR) technique. Molecular characterization was performed through Sanger sequencing and phylogenetic analysis, while Vero cell cultures were used to investigate the occurrence of cytopathic effects. Results: Of the samples analyzed, 13 (9.9%) tested positive for HAdV, while 118 (90.1%) were negative. The highest detection frequency was observed in children aged three years or younger, particularly those under one year of age. Phylogenetic analysis identified variants related to HAdV-F41 and HAdV-B3, revealing genetic differences and distinct clustering patterns compared with reference sequences. In cell culture, cytopathic effects were observed four days after inoculation, although further analyses are required to confirm productive viral replication. Conclusion: These findings demonstrate the presence of HAdV in the samples studied and contribute to understanding its genetic diversity and circulation in Salvador, highlighting the importance of epidemiological surveillance and further studies on its role in the etiology of childhood AGE.

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Cross-national factors associated with governmental responses to the 2025 PEPFAR funding freeze

McGregor, A.; Suggala, S.; Abdeljaber, W.; Michael, J.; Shoemake, B.

2026-10-21 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365861 medRxiv
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Since its inception in 2003, the United States President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) has played a central role in HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment across Sub-Saharan Africa. Following the January 2025 suspension of United States foreign aid, which includes PEPFAR funding, countries across Sub-Saharan Africa demonstrated varying governmental responses to the resulting HIV funding disruptions. This study evaluates whether national characteristics were associated with a country's ability to respond to this funding crisis. Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa receiving PEPFAR funding were classified into one of three response categories: Level 1 (minimal or no governmental response), Level 2 (government response without sufficient plans or resources to fully offset funding losses), or Level 3 (high governmental response with strategies to maintain HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment services). Response categories were compared with national Human Development Index (HDI), GDP per capita, HIV prevalence, total population living with HIV, annual HIV mortality, and historical PEPFAR funding. Univariable proportional-odds ordinal logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with response level. Five countries (17.2%) were classified as Level 1, 10 (34.5%) as Level 2, and 14 (48.3%) as Level 3. Higher HDI was significantly associated with stronger governmental response (OR = 4.05; 95% CI, 1.49-11.04; Holm-adjusted p = 0.0376). GDP per capita (OR = 2.35; 95% CI, 1.00-5.51; unadjusted p = 0.0489) and HIV prevalence (OR = 3.53; 95% CI, 1.03-12.11; unadjusted p = 0.0452) demonstrated positive associations before adjustment for multiple comparisons, but neither remained significant after Holm correction (adjusted p = 0.2261 for both). Historical PEPFAR funding, total population living with HIV, and annual HIV mortality were not significantly associated with response level after adjustment. Countries with higher levels of human development demonstrated stronger governmental responses to the 2025 PEPFAR funding disruptions. Several countries with minimal documented responses were also affected by active conflict or political instability, potentially compounding their vulnerability to treatment interruptions. These findings suggest that broader national development may play an important role in governmental responses to funding disruptions and highlight the need to strengthen resilient health systems, diversify HIV financing, and prioritize support for countries at greatest risk of future funding shocks.

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Patterns of Influenza Vaccine Uptake by Age Group and Product Type in Michigan, 2017-2021

Zhou, Z.; Malosh, R.; Sudan, S.; Wagner, A.; Eisenberg, M. C.; Monto, A.; Martin, E. T.

2026-10-21 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365920 medRxiv
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Background Influenza vaccines have seen many changes over recent years in terms of both policy recommendations and product types. Immune responses and vaccine effectiveness vary by vaccine strain composition and product type. This study aimed to explore this variation on a regional level through examining spatial and temporal autocorrelations of vaccine uptake of different product types within Michigan from 2017 to 2021. Methods Influenza vaccine administration data from the 2017/18 to 2021/22 seasons were obtained from the Michigan Care Improvement Registry. Population size estimates for 2017 and 2019 were obtained from the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services. Age-standardized and age-stratified vaccination rates were computed. Disparate county-level vaccine uptake clusters were constructed using spatial autocorrelation indicators and spatiotemporal clusters were identified using scan statistics. Linear mixed effect models were used to study the impact of social vulnerability and urbanicity level on seasonal influenza vaccination rate. Results Vaccination incidence rates for adjuvanted, recombinant, and nasal sprays vaccines and for any vaccines increased significantly through the study period. County-level spatiotemporal clusters of type-specific uptake rates were identified. Most notably, we identified an emerging cluster with high uptake of adjuvanted vaccine radiating from Ottawa County, located in suburban Grand Rapids, and the disappearance of high uptake cluster for high-dose vaccine uptake in the area. Vaccination rates by any product type were found to vary seasonally and showed weak negative association with more rural regions. The overall vaccination rates appear to be lower among counties with higher social vulnerability in certain urbanicity levels, but social vulnerability and urbanicity were not significantly associated with overall vaccination rate during the study period. Conclusions Vaccine type-specific uptake was spatially and temporally diverse in Michigan between 2017 and 2022. Mid and Northern Michigan had consistently relatively lower vaccination rate compared to other regions in Michigan.

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Integrated transcriptomics identifies key genes and pathways driving CKD to ESRD progression: implications for diagnosis and prognosis

Zhang, X.; Xie, Y.; Cao, H.; Ping, F.; Yang, H.; Qu, K.; Shen, X.

2026-10-15 nephrology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365574 medRxiv
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Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) may progress to stage 5 CKD (end-stage renal disease, ESRD), but stage-associated molecular alterations remain incompletely characterized. This study aimed to identify candidate biomarkers associated with CKD and ESRD. Methods: Two discovery datasets comparing CKD or ESRD with healthy controls were analyzed using differential expression analysis and weighted gene co-expression network analysis. Candidate genes were identified by intersecting differentially expressed genes with key co-expression modules, followed by protein-protein interaction network analysis using Degree, Closeness, and Maximal Clique Centrality algorithms. Candidate genes were evaluated in independent GEO validation datasets and further examined by quantitative real-time PCR and western blotting using clinical blood samples. Results: Ten hub genes were identified, among which EPB42, KLF1, and H3F3A were prioritized for further evaluation. EPB42 showed decreased expression in CKD but increased expression in ESRD, indicating an opposite-direction pattern between the two disease states. KLF1 showed no significant difference between healthy controls and CKD but was increased in ESRD, whereas H3F3A was increased in CKD and further increased in ESRD. Functional enrichment analysis highlighted processes related to oxygen transport, mitochondrial function, muscle-associated processes, and inflammation, suggesting possible involvement of hypoxia-associated oxidative injury and ferroptosis-related processes. Conclusions: Integrated transcriptomic and experimental analyses identified EPB42, KLF1, and H3F3A as candidate stage-associated biomarkers in CKD and ESRD. In particular, the opposite-direction expression pattern of EPB42 may provide additional molecular information for distinguishing CKD from ESRD.

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SARS-CoV-2 infection detection efficiency in Denmark before major vaccine impacts

Westfall, M. N.; Hoiby, N.; Rasmussen, S.; Ziock, H.-J.

2026-10-21 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.10.16.26364986 medRxiv
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To deal with the COVID-19 pandemic, Denmark implemented an aggressive program aimed at controlling the pandemic which included both testing and contact tracing programs. The large amount of data collected in Denmark on the pandemic and its integrated nature made it possible to investigate the effectiveness of the testing and contact tracing effort. The results of that investigation and a discussion of the effectiveness and limitations of the different control efforts are reported herein, as are lessons learned concerning possible improvements for the future. The analysis is limited to the period from the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in Denmark (late Feb. 2020) into May 2021, at which time the impact of vaccination intervention was already playing a role with ~25% of the Danish population at least partially vaccinated. From the available data sets we estimate the national Infection Detection Efficiency (IDE) starting around July 1, 2020, the time at which the national infection detection program started to be implemented in a more robust form. The results rely on daily COVID-19 hospital admissions, PCR test results, and anti-body prevalence values for the Danish population. We find that for the long-term average, the combined Danish national testing and contact tracing program identified on average about 55 to 60% of the infected individuals during the period from Sept. 1, 2020, into early May 2021. However, higher infection detection efficiencies were achieved in localized areas for short time intervals. Our investigations further indicate that the Danish testing and contact tracing program, which was among the most ambitious in the world, could have had a better balance between voluntary probing on the one hand and focused contact tracing and targeted testing on the other hand. As typically implemented, it proved to be largely ineffective in controlling the pandemic. However, in at least one case when it was implemented in an enhanced and focused mode, it was able to bring a large local outbreak that dominated the country's cases under control. We have compiled a list of lessons learned regarding the use of contact tracing procedures to control potential future pandemics before vaccinations become available.

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Prognostic significance of the C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index in primary lung malignancies: a systematic review and meta-analysis with GRADE assessment

Shamohammadi, M.; Yarahmadi, D.; Naseri Rad, F.; Patel, I.; Yarahmadi, M.; Rashidi, A.; Yarahmadi, A.; Kordestani Moghadam, P.; Naghavi, N.

2026-10-20 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365819 medRxiv
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Background: The C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index integrates systemic inflammation, nutritional status, and immune function. We evaluated its association with survival in primary lung malignancies. Methods: Embase, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched from inception to 18 September 2026. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality In Prognosis Studies tool. Hazard ratios (HRs) were synthesized using random-effects models with restricted maximum likelihood estimation and Hartung-Knapp adjustment. Sensitivity analyses, subgroup analyses, and meta-regression examined robustness and heterogeneity. Results: Eleven studies contributed 13 cohorts to the overall survival (OS) analysis and 8 cohorts from seven studies to a combined recurrence/progression-free survival (RFS/PFS) analysis. Lower CALLY was associated with poorer OS (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.49-2.12; I2=71.6%) and poorer RFS/PFS (HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.40-1.84; I2=0%). Associations persisted in leave-one-out analyses. No statistically significant subgroup differences were detected. Funnel-plot asymmetry suggested small-study effects for OS and RFS/PFS. Seven studies had moderate and four had high overall risk of bias. The certainty of evidence was rated as low for both OS and RFS/PFS, primarily due to risk of bias, heterogeneity, and endpoint indirectness. Conclusion: Lower CALLY was associated with adverse survival outcomes in the current synthesis. Methodological limitations and variation in biomarker measurement and endpoint definitions restrict interpretation. Prospective validation using standardized measurements and clinically coherent outcomes is needed to establish incremental prognostic value and clinical utility. Keywords: CALLY index; lung cancer; prognosis; overall survival; systematic review; meta-analysis

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Readiness to start long acting injectable HIV treatment and prevention and conditions for acceptance among clinic clients in Uganda

Olet, S. C.; Muluga, W. U.; Musoki, D.; Kihumuro, B. R.; Muluga, F.; Ssebandeke, I.; Among, F.; Stecher, C. D.; Musoke, D.

2026-10-15 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365499 medRxiv
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Long-acting injectable human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) medicines expand treatment and prevention choices, but willingness to use them does not establish readiness to begin. We examined readiness to start these options, associated factors and conditions for acceptance among people living with HIV and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP)-service clients in Uganda. This cross-sectional study analysed 225 participants at Mildmay Hospital and Kajjansi Health Centre IV in central Uganda. Readiness meant preferring initiation immediately or within three months. Modified Poisson regression estimated adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), including age-by-service-group interaction. Separate models examined informational, perceptual and financial factors, adjusting for service group, age and sex. Logistic marginal standardisation checked demographic and expanded age comparisons. Overall, 108 participants (48.0%) were ready to start injectable HIV treatment or prevention, 111 (49.3%) wanted more information about these options, and six (2.7%) preferred initiation in six to twelve months. Readiness was 80.8% among people living with HIV aged 15-24 years and 34.4% among those aged 25 years or older (aPR 2.35, 95% CI 1.63-3.38). Corresponding proportions among PrEP-service clients were 39.2% and 41.4% (aPR 0.95, 95% CI 0.60-1.50; interaction p=0.002). In separate adjusted models, clinic-staff information (aPR 1.94, 95% CI 1.42-2.66), belief in greater effectiveness (2.00, 1.43-2.80) and a one-point increase in benefit score (3.27, 2.36-4.55) were associated with higher readiness. A one-point increase in concern score (0.70, 0.60-0.80) and financial difficulty sometimes or more often (0.68, 0.48-0.96) were associated with lower readiness. Fewer side effects was the leading condition for accepting injectable HIV treatment or prevention across service and readiness groups. Nearly half of participants were ready to start, while a similar proportion wanted further information about injectable options. Programmes should assess intended initiation timing alongside willingness and address safety, appointment flexibility, privacy and affordability through counselling and service planning.

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Phosphorylated Tau 217 Varies With Kidney Function Even Without Chronic Kidney Disease

Kang, M. J. Y.; Borchard, T.; Mielke, M. M.; Zetterberg, H.; Hopwood, M.; Mitchell, P. B.; Eratne, D.; Velakoulis, D.

2026-10-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365853 medRxiv
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Importance. Plasma phosphorylated tau 217 (p-tau217) is entering clinical use with fixed diagnostic threshold that do not account for kidney function. Chronic kidney disease (defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) below 60 mL/min/1.73 m2), raises plasma p-tau217 concentrations and can produce false positive results. It remains unclear whether milder reductions in kidney function, above the CKD threshold, have the same effect. Objective. To determine whether plasma p-tau217 is elevated with mildly reduced kidney function, above the chronic kidney disease threshold, in adults without neurological disease. Design. Cross-sectional analysis of a cohort enrolled between 2023 and 2025 and biomarker analysis blinded to clinical data. Setting. Two private psychiatric inpatient facilities in Australia. Participants. Adults admitted with psychiatric disorders and free of neurological disease. Exposures. eGFR calculated from serum creatinine using the CKD-EPI 2021 equation. Main Outcomes and Measures. Plasma p-tau217, neurofilament light chain (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), measured on the Simoa platform. Multivariable linear regression compared eGFR groups (< 60, 60 to 90, and [&ge;] 90 mL/min/1.73 m2), adjusted for age, BMI, and sex. Results. Among 180 participants (median age, 50.5 years [IQR, 38.0-61.5]; 94 [52%] female), eGFR was [&ge;] 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 in 106 (59%), 60 to 90 in 61 (34%), and < 60 in 13 (7.2%). Compared with an eGFR [&ge;] 90, plasma p-tau217 was 36% higher in both the 60 to < 90 group ({beta} = 0.42 [95% CI: 0.11, 0.74]; P = .008) and 116% higher in the < 60 group ({beta} = 1.05 [95% CI: 0.43, 1.72]; P = .002). Plasma NfL and GFAP were elevated in the < 60 group but differences in the 60 to < 90 group did not reach significance. Modelled continuously, plasma p-tau217 was 9.5% lower per 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 higher eGFR (95% CI: 3.3%, 15.4%). Conclusions and Relevance. Plasma p-tau217 was elevated in adults with mildly reduced kidney function, above the CKD threshold, in a cohort free of neurological disease. Kidney function across its full range should be incorporated into plasma p-tau217 reference ranges and clinical interpretation to reduce false positive and false negative results.

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AI Tools to Assist with Management of Patient Portal Messages: Auto-Categorization and Routing

Brooks, J. D.; Donahue, M. A.; Rayapureddy, J. A.; Molyneaux, B.; Sylvia, L. G.; Park, E. R.; Mishuris, R. G.; Thurler, A. H.; Moura, L. M. V. R.

2026-10-21 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365557 medRxiv
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Background and Objective: The volume of patient portal messages has grown substantially and artificial intelligence (AI) can support clinical staff and improve the timeliness of patient care. Our objective is to test if an AI tool for managing the electronic inbox In-Basket reduces response times to patient portal messages in neurology. Methods: We conducted an implementation study from January to May 2026 in the neurology department at two clinical sites within a regional medical system. A single AI tool was implemented to auto-categorize and auto-route all patient messages received in the electronic inbox. The tool also generates optional draft replies to messages. Primary process measures were the median weekly time (hours) from message creation to the first action and to closure. Impact was analyzed using a controlled interrupted time-series (ITS) design, comparing message-volume-matched control divisions. Results: Among 24,142 messages analyzed, pre-intervention median weekly time to first action was 11.3 hours [IQR: 5.6, 15.1] (Site A) and 16.1 hours [IQR: 13.8, 19.0] (Site B), falling post-intervention to 1.0 hour [IQR: 0, 3.1] (Site A) and 0.6 hours [IQR: 0.2, 2.4] (Site B). Controlled interrupted time-series analysis showed a significant immediate differential level change in median weekly hours to first action at Site A (-92.5%, 95% CI: -97.5% to -78.0%), and a significant downward trend at Site B (-43.5%, 95% CI: -65.2% to -8.2%). Changes in time to closure were directionally favorable but not statistically significant at either site. There was low use of the generated draft replies, only 0.5% at Site A and 3% at Site B. Discussion: Implementation of AI-assisted message categorization and routing was associated with a substantially reduced initial action time for patient In-Basket messages in Epilepsy. The utilization of AI-generated draft-replies to messages was low. These findings support the feasibility and effectiveness of AI-augmented workflows to improve inbox management.

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Longitudinal Filovirus Seroreactivity Following Ad26.ZEBOV (Zabdeno) and MVA-BN-Filo (Mvabea) Vaccination in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Wallace, H. L.; Halbrook, M. L.; Kompany, J. P.; Hoff, N. A.; Merritt, S.; Mukadi, P.; Beya, M.; Kalengi, H.; Tambu, M.; Mossoko, Z.; Kelly, J. D.; Ball, A. H.; To, A.; Wong, T.; Kavunga-Membo, H.; Hensley, L. E.; Lehrer, A. T.; Kindrachuk, J.; Mbala-Kingebeni, P.; Rimoin, A. W.

2026-10-19 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365698 medRxiv
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Background: Filoviruses, specifically Ebola virus (EBOV), Bundibugyo virus (BDBV), and Marburg virus (MARV), have been the etiologic agents of multiple outbreaks of severe disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Two EBOV-specific vaccine regimens have been approved for use in outbreak scenarios, including the Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo (Zabdeno/Mvabea) two-dose vaccine, where the MVA-BN-Filo booster dose contains EBOV, MARV, and Sudan (SUDV) virus glycoproteins (GPs) and the nucleoprotein from Tai Forest virus. While long-term immunogenicity of up to two years has been found in clinical trial settings, limited real-world data exists. Methods: Using a multiplexed immunoassay, samples (n=698 at baseline) collected in Mbandaka, Equateur province, DRC, between September 2023 and October 2024 were assessed for seroreactivity to six filovirus antigens (1 BDBV, 2 EBOV, 2 MARV, and 1 SUDV) at three distinct periods: baseline/pre-vaccination, 6-8 weeks post-first dose (Zabdeno), at booster administration (Mvabea), and one-year post-boost dose. Results: Substantial filovirus seroreactivity was found at baseline, with 48.7% (n=340/698) of individuals being seroreactive to at least one virus antigen. High baseline seroreactivity was found against BDBV GP (31.1%, n=217/698), with lower baseline seroreactivity to EBOV GP (15.5%, n=106/698), comparatively. Overall EBOV GP seroreactivity increased to 66.8% (n=376/563) at one year-post vaccine boost and 57.6% (n=250/434) of participants were seroreactive. Despite the booster dose inclusion of SUDV GP and MARV GP, there were no substantial increases in reactivity against either antigen at subsequent timepoints. Overall filovirus seroreactivity increased at all timepoints for the entire cohort, although filovirus reactivity decreased over the study period for those who were seroreactive at baseline. Findings: These data highlight detection of significantly elevated seoreactivity to EBOV GP following first-dose administration of Ad26.ZEBOV, which remained relatively stable one-year post-booster dose administration. Additionally, this study identifies high levels of baseline seroreactivity to BDBV GP despite no previous documented outbreaks in this region of DRC. These data suggest that vaccination with the Ad26.ZEBOV-MVA-BN-Filo vaccine induces stable seroreactivity against EBOV GP, but not to other filovirus antigens.

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Real-world perioperative FLOT delivery in gastric and gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinoma: a single-centre service evaluation in a District General Hospital in the UK

Sabharwal, R.; Bhaskaran, D.

2026-10-21 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365836 medRxiv
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Background: Although perioperative fluorouracil, leucovorin, oxaliplatin and docetaxel (FLOT) is the standard neoadjuvant regimen for resectable gastric and gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinoma, evidence describing treatment delivery in routine clinical practice remains limited, particularly regarding relative dose intensity (RDI) and treatment completion. Objectives: To evaluate real-world delivery of preoperative FLOT chemotherapy, including treatment completion, progression to surgery, RDI, toxicity and exploratory changes in estimated lean body mass (LBM). Methods: A retrospective single-centre service evaluation included consecutive patients receiving neoadjuvant FLOT during 2024. Outcomes included treatment completion, surgery, RDI, toxicity, pathological response and estimated LBM. Descriptive statistics were used. Results: Twelve patients were included (median age 68.6 years; 91.7% male). Eleven (91.6%) completed all four preoperative cycles and proceeded to surgery. Mean RDI was 76.7%. Pre-emptive dose capping was the predominant dose modification strategy, with only one reactive dose reduction. Two grade 3 adverse events occurred. Major pathological response (Mandard grade 1-2) was observed in 2/12 patients (16.7%). Mean estimated LBM declined from 54.3 to 53.4 kg. Greater LBM loss appeared to coincide with poorer clinical outcomes. Conclusions: High treatment completion and progression to surgery were achieved despite reduced RDI. These findings support prospective evaluation of strategies to optimise chemotherapy delivery while maintaining tolerability in routine clinical practice.

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Assessing Knowledge and Risk Perception of Mosquitoes and Mosquito-Borne Viruses Among Medical Students in Cyprus: A Cross-Sectional MosquitoWise Study

Dali, A. M.; Vujicic, A.; Gato, D.; Volkan, E.

2026-10-19 medical education 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365696 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Cyprus has transitioned into a high-alert zone for mosquito-borne viruses. This necessitates a proactive assessment of its future physicians. Following the 2022 re-establishment of Aedes aegypti in Larnaca and Aedes albopictus in Limassol, Cyprus, the island is now biologically primed for local outbreaks of dengue, Zika, and chikungunya, alongside Culex-borne West Nile virus. The study assessed medical students' knowledge and risk perception. Methods: A cross-sectional online survey administered the validated MosquitoWise Health Belief Model instrument to undergraduate-entry and graduate-entry students at a university in Cyprus in mid-2026. Results: Of 1023 students, 119 responded (11.6%), with pre-clinical students overrepresented (p<0.001). Mean knowledge was 5.43/9, stronger on mosquito biology (72.5%) than virus knowledge (54.2%). Median severity was 6.00/7 against susceptibility 4.25/7. Knowledge differed by study stage (p<0.001), correlated with severity (rs = 0.399) but not susceptibility. Conclusions: The study establishes a critical baseline for pre-clinical medical students in Cyprus. Overall, participants performed better on mosquito biology when compared to mosquito-borne viruses and how they spread. Our findings highlight the value of integrating theoretical microbiology with clinical practice in medical education to enhance physicians' preparedness for the changing landscape of newly emerging infections in Cyprus and across Europe as a whole. Key Words: Arboviruses, Cross-Sectional Studies, Cyprus, Health Belief Model, Medical Students, Risk Perception.

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Host Determinants of Adjuvant Chemotherapy Initiation and Survival in Upper Gastrointestinal Adenocarcinoma

Jiao, B.; Alotaibi, S.; Abumelha, K.; Tankel, J.; Ferri, L.; Asselah, J.; Alcindor, T.; Mueller, C.; Rousseau, M.; Soldera, S.; Lee, L.; Bertos, N.; Dehghani, M.; Ma, K. A.; Cools-Lartigue, J.

2026-10-15 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.13.26365477 medRxiv
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Introduction: Perioperative systemic therapy improves outcomes in gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma, but many patients do not receive postoperative treatment. We examined whether host characteristics and perioperative inflammatory and albumin changes provided information about adjuvant initiation beyond tumour pathology, and whether initiation was associated with survival and disease control. Method: This retrospective cohort included patients undergoing curative-intent resection for gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma at the McGill University Health Centre between 2006 and 2025. Sequential logistic models evaluated pathological characteristics, pre-treatment host variables and perioperative changes in CBC-derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (cNLR) and albumin. Postoperative measurements preceded adjuvant initiation. Nested comparisons used matched complete cases. Day-90 landmark and time-varying Cox models assessed associations between adjuvant initiation and survival. Results: Among 243 patients, 78 (32.1%) did not initiate adjuvant therapy. Adding host variables improved apparent discrimination for initiation beyond pathology (AUC 0.672 to 0.763; P=0.002). Greater perioperative cNLR increase was associated with lower odds of initiation (adjusted OR 0.67 per unit increase in {Delta}log2; cNLR, 95% CI 0.47-0.95), whereas more favourable albumin change was associated with higher odds (OR 1.07 per g/L, 95% CI 1.01-1.13). Neither marker retained a clear independent association when modelled together. Adjuvant initiation by day 90 was associated with longer overall survival (adjusted HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.36-0.78) and disease-free survival (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.39-0.84), with similar time-varying findings. Conclusion: Host inflammatory and albumin changes added information about adjuvant initiation beyond tumour pathology, and initiation was associated with longer survival. Prospective evaluation should determine whether host-directed perioperative strategies can improve postoperative treatment delivery.

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Mechanisms of action of a community-led HIV prevention and treatment programme for female sex workers in Zimbabwe: a mixed-method analysis

Busza, J.; Jones, H.; Matambanadzo, P.; Hove, T.; Chabata, S.; Kujeke, T.; Makamba, M.; Madimutsa, G.; Machingura, F.; Cowan, F.; Hargreaves, J.

2026-10-16 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.10.08.26365041 medRxiv
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Background Community-led interventions for female sex workers (FSW) can improve HIV prevention and treatment outcomes by lowering self-stigma and strengthening social cohesion to improve service uptake. In Zimbabwe, the AMETHIST intervention trial integrated peer-led microplanning with self-help groups for FSW and demonstrated improved HIV treatment outcomes. We investigated the role of social cohesion and self-stigma in explaining these findings. Method We conducted a mixed-method analysis of data collected during AMETHIST. We re-analysed qualitative data from interviews and group discussions to identify narratives linking self-stigma, engagement with microplanners and/or self-help groups and HIV service use. We analysed quantitative data from endline respondent-driven sampling surveys for differences in self-reported measures of social cohesion and self-stigma between trial arms, and between those who did and did not participate in intervention activities or access services. Results In both arms, FSW self-reported engaging with peer supporters, participating in self-help groups and accessing HIV services. Qualitative narratives suggested peer support and group participation could reduce self-stigma and support service uptake. Lower levels of self-stigma were seen in the intervention arm (58.6% vs 63.2%; aOR 0.77; 95% CI 0.61-0.86). Social cohesion exceeded 50% across the whole sample, but was not associated with study arm, nor with engagement in intervention-related activities. Discussion Although qualitative data suggested some FSW felt their uptake of services was influenced by intervention components, quantitative analyses did not suggest either variable was on the causal pathway to the outcomes of the intervention. A limitation may have been the measurement of these complex constructs and the high levels of social cohesion across both study arms.

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Bacterial profile and antibiotic sensitivity patterns among patients admitted to the Intensive Care Unit at Mbeya Zonal Referral Hospital: a cross-sectional study.

Zumba, M. A.; S., M.; A., J.; E., L.; H., M.; A., O.; F, R.; M., E.

2026-10-16 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365595 medRxiv
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Sepsis is a global health problem. Patients in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) are at risk of having sepsis because of their vulnerability and use of invasive medical devices. Emerging antimicrobial-resistance complicates treatment. Understanding bacterial profiles and antibiotic sensitivity patterns in the ICU plays an important role in managing sepsis, optimizing antimicrobial use, and improving patient outcomes. The aim of this study was to show bacterial profiles and antibiotic sensitivity patterns among patients who were admitted to the ICU at Mbeya Zonal Referral Hospital for 12 months. This was a prospective cross-sectional study among 187 sepsis-suspected patients. Data analysis was performed using SPSS Version 27. Categorical data were summarized by frequency and percentage. Fishers exact test, chi-square test, and modified Poisson regression were used to show the association between patients clinical variables and culture positivity at a 95% CI. Statistical significance was set at a p-value < 0.05. Out of 187 samples, 41.7% were culture positive. Gram-negative bacteria were commonly isolated (65.4%, with Klebsiella pneumoniae and Escherichia coli being commonly isolated. Commonly isolated Gram-positive bacteria were Coagulase-negative Staphylococcus species (19%). 100% of gram-positive bacteria and 96% of gram-negative bacteria were Multi-Drug Resistant (MDR), respectively. In multivariable analysis, patients who were intubated and mechanically ventilated (aPR = 2.208, 95% CI: 1.133-4.305, p = 0.020) and post-laparotomy patients (aPR = 3.241,95% CI: 1.320-7.958, p = 0.010) independently had a higher proportion of Gram-negative bacteria. The study reveals a high level of resistance to commonly used antimicrobials in our setting, necessitating strengthening of the antimicrobial stewardship program and routine surveillance of antimicrobial resistance patterns.

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Claims-based reconstruction of the pancreatic cancer care pathway links centralization of care to survival

Laubr, D.; Tichopad, A.; Rybar, M.; Bielcikova, Z.; Lovecek, M.; Rozanek, M.; Donin, G.

2026-10-20 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.17.26365423 medRxiv
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Background: The organization of pancreatic cancer care may be associated with survival. Using health administrative claims data, we reconstructed the pathway from diagnosis to first-line therapy and examined associations of multidisciplinary team review and treatment at specialized centers with overall survival. Methods: Longitudinal historical cohort study using anonymized health administrative claims data from six Czech health insurance funds, covering approximately 17% of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer nationally between 2018 and 2020. Adults with an incident ICD-10 C25 record confirmed by imaging and histopathology were followed from the index date (the date of the first qualifying imaging or histopathological examination) until death, censoring, or 31 December 2021. Overall survival was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox regression adjusted for age and first-line therapy type. Results: Of 1,255 patients, 920 (73.3%) received first-line therapy and 266 (21.2%) died untreated. Among treated patients, 436 (47.4%) underwent multidisciplinary team review, 335 (36.4%) underwent surgery, and 667 (72.5%) were treated at a complex oncological center. Surgery was associated with longer overall survival than chemotherapy (age-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.32, P < 0.001). Treatment at a complex oncological center was associated with longer overall survival (adjusted HR 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.64-0.92, P = 0.004; crude median 532 versus 394 days). Multidisciplinary team review was not significantly associated with overall survival (adjusted HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.73-1.01, P = 0.073). Conclusions: Treatment at a complex oncological center was associated with longer survival, while fewer than half of patients had a recorded multidisciplinary team review. How care is organized, not only which therapy is delivered, is associated with outcome. The observational design and absence of key clinical covariates limit causal interpretation.